As Euro 2024 approaches its climax, host nation Germany is strategically leveraging the tournament to enhance its economy through tourism, commercial sponsorship, broadcasting, and merchandise sales. Despite ongoing economic challenges, the question remains: can this event provide the much-needed boost to reverse Germany’s sluggish growth trend?
The month-long tournament, taking place from June 14 to July 14, features 51 matches and has prompted many restaurants and bars to set up large outdoor screens, significantly increasing food and beverage sales.
“The tournament showcases the impact of football economics in driving consumption,” remarked Hou Lu, General Manager of Hisense Germany, one of Euro 2024’s official sponsors. “By the end of June, Hisense’s sales topped the German market, achieving a remarkable year-on-year revenue increase of 53 percent,” he added.
The Institute for Economic Research predicts that Euro 2024 could generate up to one billion euros in revenue for Germany, potentially boosting economic output by around 0.1 percent in the second quarter. The event is expected to attract 600,000 overseas tourists, leading to 1.5 million overnight stays.
Guido Zoellick, president of the German Hotel and Restaurant Association, emphasized that hosting such a major international sporting event enhances the nation’s image and uplifts public morale, which can further stimulate consumer confidence and spending.
However, while Euro 2024 has sparked a short-term surge in consumption, its long-term impact on economic recovery remains uncertain. In 2023, Germany’s GDP shrank by 0.3 percent, positioning it among the worst-performing major economies globally. Furthermore, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts that Germany may rank the lowest in economic growth among major industrial nations in 2024, with an anticipated growth rate of just 0.2 percent.
German economists caution that the path to economic recovery is fraught with uncertainties and that the football economy alone cannot fundamentally reverse the downturn. The ifo Business Climate Index, a critical indicator of economic trends in Germany, fell to 88.6 points in June, marking its second consecutive decline. Clemens Fuest, president of the ifo Institute, noted, “The German economy faces significant challenges in overcoming stagnation.”
This declining trend in the ifo Business Climate Index is echoed by the German Consumer Confidence Index. The latest survey from GfK Market Research Group indicates a drop from -21.0 in June to -21.8 in July. Experts suggest that this decline reflects consumer caution stemming from rising prices and a sluggish economic recovery, exacerbating concerns about the economic outlook.
“While the European Championship can enhance economic activity in the short term, it cannot fundamentally address the long-term structural challenges Germany faces. Comprehensive measures, including structural reforms, innovation, and investment, are essential for achieving genuine economic recovery and sustained growth,” stated Michael Borchmann, former head of the European and International Affairs Department of the federal German state of Hesse.